xstats.football
Section 02

xWC full matrix

Leaderboard Over / under Full matrix By tournament

Expected titles per tournament · red cell = they actually won it · darker = higher xWC · scroll right for more tournaments

Team19301934193819501954195819621966197019741978198219861990199419982002200620102014201820222026ΣxWC
Brazil0.110.040.070.250.140.100.180.120.120.200.160.150.050.100.080.160.040.110.160.260.170.180.053.00
Germany·0.070.13·0.090.070.050.080.120.340.170.190.070.090.110.090.030.100.060.100.120.030.032.13
Argentina0.310.17···0.170.090.09·0.040.100.080.040.020.060.030.080.050.040.080.070.160.111.79
Italy·0.170.270.160.10·0.040.090.130.090.040.030.040.140.090.050.080.050.050.02···1.66
England···0.210.110.090.060.180.16··0.050.100.06·0.060.040.070.090.030.050.040.061.44
Spain·0.07·0.05··0.060.05··0.060.070.040.050.050.080.060.070.160.110.100.070.141.28
France<0.01<0.010.05·0.030.04·0.01··0.030.030.09··0.140.150.080.020.030.060.060.080.90
Uruguay0.30··0.080.07·0.060.030.050.01··0.040.04··0.02·0.020.030.040.030.020.85
Netherlands·0.030.03······0.020.18··0.100.100.05·0.070.110.04·0.060.030.82
Hungary·0.050.14·0.170.170.070.08··0.040.010.05··········0.79
Russia·····0.030.140.120.13··0.090.080.070.04·0.01··0.020.01··0.73
Mexico0.03··0.040.020.030.020.060.05·0.02·0.09·0.040.030.030.030.050.020.020.020.030.64
Serbia0.04··0.030.080.070.11··0.04·0.04·0.04·0.05·0.010.02·<0.010.02·0.56
Sweden·0.040.090.07·0.06··0.040.030.01··0.070.05·0.020.03··<0.01·<0.010.52
Czechoslovakia·0.080.08·0.020.050.06·0.07··0.03·0.03·········0.43
Belgium0.04<0.01<0.01·0.02···0.02··0.040.020.020.030.010.02··0.020.040.060.020.39
Austria·0.18··0.050.05····0.020.04·0.01·<0.01······<0.010.37
Portugal·······0.02····0.02···0.070.040.030.040.060.050.040.36
Poland··0.03······0.030.050.060.02···<0.010.02··0.01<0.01·0.24
Paraguay0.06··0.07·0.02······0.03··<0.01<0.010.010.01···0.010.23
Colombia······<0.01······0.020.07<0.01···0.030.04·0.050.23
Switzerland·0.010.02<0.010.02·<0.01<0.01······0.04··0.02<0.010.020.020.020.030.22
Romania0.030.030.03·····0.02····0.040.040.03·······0.22
United States0.040.02·<0.01·········<0.010.010.010.020.030.020.02·0.010.010.21
Scotland····0.040.03···0.010.050.010.04<0.01·<0.01······<0.010.21
South Korea····0.02·······0.020.030.020.020.030.010.02<0.01<0.01<0.010.010.19
Chile0.01··<0.01··0.040.01·0.02·0.01···0.01··0.030.02···0.16
Japan···············0.010.070.02<0.01<0.01<0.01<0.010.030.16
Denmark············0.04··0.020.03·<0.01·0.010.04·0.15
Bulgaria······<0.010.020.030.03··0.03·0.020.01·······0.15
Croatia···············0.020.030.02·<0.010.020.020.020.14
Iran··········0.04····<0.01·0.03·<0.010.020.010.010.12
Norway··0.02···········0.040.04······0.020.11
Peru0.02·······0.01·<0.01<0.01········0.05··0.10
Morocco········0.01···0.02·0.020.01····<0.01<0.010.030.10
Cameroon···········0.01·0.010.02<0.010.04·<0.01<0.01·<0.01·0.09
Republic of Ireland·············0.030.03·0.03······0.09
Australia·········0.02·······0.030.02<0.01<0.01<0.010.010.09
Ecuador················<0.01<0.01·0.02·0.020.040.08
Nigeria··············0.04<0.010.02·0.01<0.01<0.01··0.08
Czech Republic·················0.06····<0.010.06
German DR·········0.06·············0.06
Tunisia··········0.02····<0.01<0.010.01··<0.01<0.01<0.010.05
Costa Rica·············<0.01··0.02<0.01·<0.01<0.01<0.01·0.05
Egypt·0.03···········<0.01······<0.01·<0.010.05
DR Congo·········0.04············<0.010.04
Ivory Coast·················0.020.010.01··<0.010.04
Northern Ireland·····<0.01·····<0.010.03··········0.04
Senegal················0.01···0.01<0.010.010.04
Turkey····<0.01···········<0.01·····0.020.04
Saudi Arabia··············0.01<0.010.01<0.01··<0.01<0.01<0.010.04
Algeria···········<0.010.02·····<0.01<0.01··<0.010.04
Canada············<0.01········0.010.020.04
North Korea·······0.03··········<0.01····0.03
Cuba··0.03····················0.03
Bolivia0.01··<0.01··········<0.01········0.03
Greece··············<0.01···<0.010.01···0.02
Indonesia··0.02····················0.02
Iraq············0.02·········<0.010.02
South Africa···············<0.01<0.01·<0.01···<0.010.02
Ghana·················<0.01<0.01<0.01·<0.01<0.010.02
Honduras···········<0.01······<0.01<0.01···0.02
New Zealand···········0.01······<0.01···<0.010.02
Wales·····<0.01···············<0.01·0.02
Kuwait···········0.02···········0.02
Ukraine·················0.01·····0.01
El Salvador········<0.01··<0.01···········0.01
Slovenia················<0.01·<0.01····0.01
China················0.01······0.01
Qatar·····················0.01<0.010.01
Panama····················<0.01·<0.010.01
Bosnia and Herzegovina···················<0.01··<0.01<0.01
Israel········<0.01··············<0.01
Iceland····················<0.01··<0.01
Jamaica···············<0.01·······<0.01
Haiti·········<0.01············<0.01<0.01
Uzbekistan······················<0.01<0.01
Slovakia··················<0.01····<0.01
United Arab Emirates·············<0.01·········<0.01
Angola·················<0.01·····<0.01
Trinidad and Tobago·················<0.01·····<0.01
Jordan······················<0.01<0.01
Togo·················<0.01·····<0.01
Cape Verde······················<0.01<0.01
Curaçao······················<0.01<0.01