Head to head

Uruguay vs Wales

If they played today

Uruguay at home

59% / 22% / 18%

Uruguay win / draw / Wales win

Uruguay–Wales

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.6%

Neutral venue

52% / 24% / 24%

Uruguay win / draw / Wales win

Uruguay–Wales

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.1%
0–1 7.0%

Wales at home

43% / 26% / 31%

Uruguay win / draw / Wales win

Uruguay–Wales

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Uruguay	Wales
Current Elo	1925	1743
Elo rank	18th	52nd
Peak Elo	2104 (2024)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	973	726
All-time record	428W 242D 303L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	1537	910
Goals against	1182	1160
Biggest win	9–0 vs Bolivia · 1927-11-06 · Copa América	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Argentina · 1902-07-20 · Friendly	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	2	0
Expected World Cups	0.84	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Uruguay 1W 1D 0L

Goals

1–0

Uruguay first

First meeting

0–0

Drawn · 1986-04-21 · Friendly

Most recent

1–0

Uruguay won · 2018-03-26 · Friendly

Uruguay's biggest win

1–0

2018-03-26 · Friendly

Wales' biggest win

—

Never beaten Uruguay

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Uruguay · since 1986-04-21

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2018-03-26	1–0	Neutral	Friendly
1986-04-21	0–0	Wales home	Friendly