Head to head

United States vs Wales

If they played today

United States at home

53% / 24% / 23%

United States win / draw / Wales win

United States–Wales

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.4%
0–1 6.7%

Neutral venue

45% / 26% / 30%

United States win / draw / Wales win

United States–Wales

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.1%
2–0 7.8%

Wales at home

37% / 26% / 37%

United States win / draw / Wales win

United States–Wales

1–1 12.6%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.6%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	United States	Wales
Current Elo	1842	1743
Elo rank	33rd	52nd
Peak Elo	1973 (2021)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	795	726
All-time record	354W 161D 280L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	1211	910
Goals against	1056	1160
Biggest win	8–0 vs Barbados · 2008-06-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Norway · 1948-08-06 · Friendly	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.21	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

United States 1W 2D 0L

Goals

3–1

United States first

First meeting

2–0

United States won · 2003-05-26 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2022-11-21 · FIFA World Cup

United States' biggest win

2–0

2003-05-26 · Friendly

Wales' biggest win

—

Never beaten United States

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

United States · since 2003-05-26

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2022-11-21	1–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2020-11-12	0–0	Wales home	Friendly
2003-05-26	2–0	United States home	Friendly