Head to head

Tonga vs Zambia

If they played today

Tonga at home

13% / 19% / 68%

Tonga win / draw / Zambia win

Tonga–Zambia

0–2 12.5%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
0–3 8.7%

Neutral venue

9% / 17% / 75%

Tonga win / draw / Zambia win

Tonga–Zambia

0–2 14.0%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.7%
1–2 9.0%
1–1 7.8%

Zambia at home

6% / 14% / 81%

Tonga win / draw / Zambia win

Tonga–Zambia

0–2 15.5%
0–3 12.9%
0–1 12.4%
0–4 8.0%
1–2 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Tonga	Zambia
Current Elo	1056	1551
Elo rank	198th	94th
Peak Elo	1478 (1979)	1799 (1994)
Matches played	68	793
All-time record	16W 6D 46L	358W 203D 232L
Goals for	81	1234
Goals against	253	851
Biggest win	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games	11–2 vs Eswatini · 1978-02-05 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	1–10 vs DR Congo · 1969-11-22 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Tonga and Zambia have never played each other.