Head to head

Tonga vs Wales

If they played today

Tonga at home

6% / 14% / 80%

Tonga win / draw / Wales win

Tonga–Wales

0–2 15.4%
0–3 12.7%
0–1 12.4%
1–2 8.0%
0–4 7.8%

Neutral venue

3% / 11% / 86%

Tonga win / draw / Wales win

Tonga–Wales

0–2 16.8%
0–3 15.0%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.0%
1–2 6.4%

Wales at home

2% / 8% / 90%

Tonga win / draw / Wales win

Tonga–Wales

0–2 18.2%
0–3 17.4%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 12.5%
0–5 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Tonga	Wales
Current Elo	1056	1743
Elo rank	198th	52nd
Peak Elo	1478 (1979)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	68	726
All-time record	16W 6D 46L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	81	910
Goals against	253	1160
Biggest win	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Tonga and Wales have never played each other.