Head to head

Tonga vs Uzbekistan

If they played today

Tonga at home

6% / 14% / 80%

Tonga win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Tonga–Uzbekistan

0–2 15.2%
0–3 12.4%
0–1 12.4%
1–2 8.1%
0–4 7.6%

Neutral venue

4% / 11% / 85%

Tonga win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Tonga–Uzbekistan

0–2 16.6%
0–3 14.7%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 9.7%
1–2 6.7%

Uzbekistan at home

2% / 8% / 90%

Tonga win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Tonga–Uzbekistan

0–2 18.0%
0–3 17.1%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 12.2%
0–5 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Tonga	Uzbekistan
Current Elo	1056	1731
Elo rank	198th	56th
Peak Elo	1478 (1979)	1844 (2025)
Matches played	68	357
All-time record	16W 6D 46L	169W 73D 115L
Goals for	81	615
Goals against	253	405
Biggest win	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games	15–0 vs Mongolia · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games
Biggest loss	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	1–8 vs Japan · 2000-10-17 · AFC Asian Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Tonga and Uzbekistan have never played each other.