Head to head

Tonga vs Uruguay

If they played today

Tonga at home

2% / 9% / 89%

Tonga win / draw / Uruguay win

Tonga–Uruguay

0–2 17.9%
0–3 16.9%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 12.0%
0–5 6.8%

Neutral venue

1% / 6% / 93%

Tonga win / draw / Uruguay win

Tonga–Uruguay

0–3 19.4%
0–2 19.2%
0–4 14.8%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 9.0%

Uruguay at home

0% / 4% / 95%

Tonga win / draw / Uruguay win

Tonga–Uruguay

0–3 21.1%
0–2 19.6%
0–4 17.1%
0–1 12.1%
0–5 11.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Tonga	Uruguay
Current Elo	1056	1925
Elo rank	198th	18th
Peak Elo	1478 (1979)	2104 (2024)
Matches played	68	973
All-time record	16W 6D 46L	428W 242D 303L
Goals for	81	1537
Goals against	253	1182
Biggest win	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games	9–0 vs Bolivia · 1927-11-06 · Copa América
Biggest loss	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–6 vs Argentina · 1902-07-20 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	2
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.84

When they've met

Tonga and Uruguay have never played each other.