Head to head

Tonga vs United States

If they played today

Tonga at home

3% / 11% / 86%

Tonga win / draw / United States win

Tonga–United States

0–2 16.8%
0–3 14.9%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.0%
1–2 6.5%

Neutral venue

2% / 8% / 90%

Tonga win / draw / United States win

Tonga–United States

0–2 18.1%
0–3 17.4%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 12.5%
0–5 7.2%

United States at home

1% / 6% / 94%

Tonga win / draw / United States win

Tonga–United States

0–3 19.9%
0–2 19.4%
0–4 15.3%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 9.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Tonga	United States
Current Elo	1056	1842
Elo rank	198th	33rd
Peak Elo	1478 (1979)	1973 (2021)
Matches played	68	795
All-time record	16W 6D 46L	354W 161D 280L
Goals for	81	1211
Goals against	253	1056
Biggest win	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games	8–0 vs Barbados · 2008-06-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–11 vs Norway · 1948-08-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.21

When they've met

Tonga and United States have never played each other.