Head to head

Tonga vs United States Virgin Islands

If they played today

Tonga at home
50% / 25% / 25%
Tonga win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win
Tonga–United States Virgin Islands
  • 1–1 11.7%
  • 1–0 10.9%
  • 2–1 9.6%
  • 2–0 8.9%
  • 0–1 7.2%
Neutral venue
42% / 26% / 32%
Tonga win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win
Tonga–United States Virgin Islands
  • 1–1 12.3%
  • 1–0 10.2%
  • 2–1 8.8%
  • 0–1 8.6%
  • 1–2 7.5%
United States Virgin Islands at home
34% / 26% / 40%
Tonga win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win
Tonga–United States Virgin Islands
  • 1–1 12.5%
  • 0–1 9.9%
  • 1–0 9.1%
  • 1–2 8.5%
  • 2–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 TongaUnited States Virgin Islands
Current Elo1056990
Elo rank198th206th
Peak Elo1478 (1979)1507 (1999)
Matches played6878
All-time record16W 6D 46L10W 12D 56L
Goals for8154
Goals against253295
Biggest win7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games4–0 vs Marshall Islands · 2025-08-14 · Outrigger Challenge Cup
Biggest loss0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification1–14 vs Saint Lucia · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Tonga and United States Virgin Islands have never played each other.