Head to head

Tonga vs Ukraine

If they played today

Tonga at home

3% / 11% / 86%

Tonga win / draw / Ukraine win

Tonga–Ukraine

0–2 16.9%
0–3 15.1%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.1%
1–2 6.4%

Neutral venue

2% / 8% / 90%

Tonga win / draw / Ukraine win

Tonga–Ukraine

0–2 18.2%
0–3 17.5%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 12.6%
0–5 7.3%

Ukraine at home

1% / 6% / 94%

Tonga win / draw / Ukraine win

Tonga–Ukraine

0–3 20.0%
0–2 19.5%
0–4 15.4%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 9.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Tonga	Ukraine
Current Elo	1056	1847
Elo rank	198th	30th
Peak Elo	1478 (1979)	1921 (2024)
Matches played	68	338
All-time record	16W 6D 46L	152W 94D 92L
Goals for	81	475
Goals against	253	358
Biggest win	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games	9–0 vs San Marino · 2013-09-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	1–7 vs France · 2020-10-07 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.01

When they've met

Tonga and Ukraine have never played each other.