Head to head

Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan

If they played today

Tajikistan at home

23% / 24% / 52%

Tajikistan win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Tajikistan–Uzbekistan

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.3%
1–0 6.8%

Neutral venue

18% / 22% / 60%

Tajikistan win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Tajikistan–Uzbekistan

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.9%
1–1 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.8%

Uzbekistan at home

13% / 19% / 68%

Tajikistan win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Tajikistan–Uzbekistan

0–2 12.4%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.3%
0–3 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Tajikistan	Uzbekistan
Current Elo	1438	1731
Elo rank	137th	56th
Peak Elo	1569 (1997)	1844 (2025)
Matches played	201	357
All-time record	78W 43D 80L	169W 73D 115L
Goals for	299	615
Goals against	278	405
Biggest win	16–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification	15–0 vs Mongolia · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Japan · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification	1–8 vs Japan · 2000-10-17 · AFC Asian Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	<0.01
AFC Asian Cups won	0	0
Expected AFC Asian Cups	<0.01	0.38

When they've met

Meetings

Tajikistan 1W 3D 5L

Goals

9–21

Tajikistan first

First meeting

2–2

Drawn · 1992-06-17 · Friendly

Most recent

1–5

Uzbekistan won · 2023-06-17 · CAFA Nations Cup

Tajikistan's biggest win

4–0

1996-05-08 · AFC Asian Cup qualification

Uzbekistan's biggest win

5–0

1996-06-19 · AFC Asian Cup qualification

Current run

Unbeaten in 6

Uzbekistan · since 1996-06-19

9 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-06-17	1–5	Uzbekistan home	CAFA Nations Cup
2011-11-15	0–3	Uzbekistan home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2011-09-02	0–1	Tajikistan home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2003-11-17	1–4	Neutral	AFC Asian Cup qualification
2003-11-10	0–0	Uzbekistan home	AFC Asian Cup qualification
1996-06-19	0–5	Uzbekistan home	AFC Asian Cup qualification
1996-05-08	4–0	Tajikistan home	AFC Asian Cup qualification
1994-04-17	1–1	Uzbekistan home	Friendly
1992-06-17	2–2	Tajikistan home	Friendly