Head to head

Tahiti vs Tonga

If they played today

Tahiti at home

78% / 15% / 7%

Tahiti win / draw / Tonga win

Tahiti–Tonga

2–0 14.8%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 11.9%
2–1 8.4%
4–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

72% / 18% / 10%

Tahiti win / draw / Tonga win

Tahiti–Tonga

2–0 13.3%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.8%
2–1 9.3%
1–1 8.5%

Tonga at home

65% / 21% / 15%

Tahiti win / draw / Tonga win

Tahiti–Tonga

1–0 11.8%
2–0 11.8%
1–1 9.8%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Tahiti	Tonga
Current Elo	1506	1056
Elo rank	109th	198th
Peak Elo	1856 (1996)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	242	68
All-time record	131W 31D 80L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	657	81
Goals against	371	253
Biggest win	30–0 vs Cook Islands · 1971-09-13 · South Pacific Games	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–10 vs Spain · 2013-06-20 · Confederations Cup	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
OFC Nations Cups won	1	0
Expected OFC Nations Cups	1.84	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Tahiti 5W 0D 0L

Goals

20–0

Tahiti first

First meeting

8–0

Tahiti won · 1979-08-29 · South Pacific Games

Most recent

2–0

Tahiti won · 2004-05-17 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Tahiti's biggest win

8–0

1979-08-29 · South Pacific Games

Tonga's biggest win

—

Never beaten Tahiti

Current run

Won last 5

Tahiti · since 1979-08-29

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2004-05-17	2–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2003-07-07	4–0	Neutral	South Pacific Games
1998-09-03	5–0	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1994-11-24	1–0	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1979-08-29	8–0	Neutral	South Pacific Games