Head to head

Sweden vs Tonga

If they played today

Sweden at home

92% / 7% / 1%

Sweden win / draw / Tonga win

Sweden–Tonga

2–0 18.9%
3–0 18.7%
4–0 14.0%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.3%

Neutral venue

88% / 9% / 2%

Sweden win / draw / Tonga win

Sweden–Tonga

2–0 17.5%
3–0 16.3%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.3%
5–0 6.3%

Tonga at home

83% / 12% / 4%

Sweden win / draw / Tonga win

Sweden–Tonga

2–0 16.1%
3–0 13.9%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.0%
2–1 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Sweden	Tonga
Current Elo	1797	1056
Elo rank	41st	198th
Peak Elo	1955 (2018)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	1105	68
All-time record	542W 234D 329L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	2178	81
Goals against	1431	253
Biggest win	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.52	0.00

When they've met

Sweden and Tonga have never played each other.