Head to head

Somalia vs Tonga

If they played today

Somalia at home

45% / 26% / 29%

Somalia win / draw / Tonga win

Somalia–Tonga

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
0–1 8.0%
2–0 7.9%

Neutral venue

37% / 26% / 36%

Somalia win / draw / Tonga win

Somalia–Tonga

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.6%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Tonga at home

30% / 26% / 44%

Somalia win / draw / Tonga win

Somalia–Tonga

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.2%
0–2 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Somalia	Tonga
Current Elo	1061	1056
Elo rank	196th	198th
Peak Elo	1475 (1963)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	124	68
All-time record	11W 15D 98L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	62	81
Goals against	330	253
Biggest win	3–2 vs Djibouti · 2008-12-23 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–14 vs North Korea · 1963-11-11 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Somalia and Tonga have never played each other.