Head to head

Slovenia vs Sweden

If they played today

Slovenia at home

40% / 26% / 34%

Slovenia win / draw / Sweden win

Slovenia–Sweden

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 9.0%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.7%

Neutral venue

33% / 26% / 41%

Slovenia win / draw / Sweden win

Slovenia–Sweden

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–0 8.8%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Sweden at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Slovenia win / draw / Sweden win

Slovenia–Sweden

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.7%
1–0 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Slovenia	Sweden
Current Elo	1741	1797
Elo rank	53rd	41st
Peak Elo	1830 (2024)	1955 (2018)
Matches played	317	1105
All-time record	114W 86D 117L	542W 234D 329L
Goals for	392	2178
Goals against	372	1431
Biggest win	7–0 vs Oman · 1999-02-08 · Friendly	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–5 vs France · 2002-10-12 · UEFA Euro qualification	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.01	0.52
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.01	0.31

When they've met

Meetings

Slovenia 0W 4D 2L

Goals

4–7

Slovenia first

First meeting

0–1

Sweden won · 2008-05-26 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2025-11-18 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Slovenia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Sweden

Sweden's biggest win

2–0

2022-06-02 · UEFA Nations League

Most common result

1–1

Slovenia first · twice, last 2025-11-18

Current run

Unbeaten in 6

Sweden · since 2008-05-26

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-11-18	1–1	Sweden home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2025-09-05	2–2	Slovenia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2022-09-27	1–1	Sweden home	UEFA Nations League
2022-06-02	0–2	Slovenia home	UEFA Nations League
2016-05-30	0–0	Sweden home	Friendly
2008-05-26	0–1	Sweden home	Friendly