Head to head

Senegal vs Tonga

If they played today

Senegal at home

95% / 5% / 0%

Senegal win / draw / Tonga win

Senegal–Tonga

3–0 20.9%
2–0 19.9%
4–0 16.4%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 10.4%

Neutral venue

92% / 7% / 1%

Senegal win / draw / Tonga win

Senegal–Tonga

2–0 18.6%
3–0 18.3%
4–0 13.5%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.0%

Tonga at home

87% / 10% / 3%

Senegal win / draw / Tonga win

Senegal–Tonga

2–0 17.3%
3–0 15.9%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.9%
5–0 6.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Senegal	Tonga
Current Elo	1881	1056
Elo rank	27th	198th
Peak Elo	1953 (2026)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	642	68
All-time record	299W 169D 174L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	892	81
Goals against	608	253
Biggest win	8–0 vs Kenya · 2025-11-18 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–5 vs Guinea · 1966-03-06 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.00

When they've met

Senegal and Tonga have never played each other.