Head to head

Scotland vs Tonga

If they played today

Scotland at home

93% / 6% / 1%

Scotland win / draw / Tonga win

Scotland–Tonga

3–0 19.2%
2–0 19.1%
4–0 14.5%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.7%

Neutral venue

89% / 9% / 2%

Scotland win / draw / Tonga win

Scotland–Tonga

2–0 17.8%
3–0 16.7%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.8%
5–0 6.6%

Tonga at home

84% / 12% / 4%

Scotland win / draw / Tonga win

Scotland–Tonga

2–0 16.4%
3–0 14.3%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.4%
2–1 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Scotland	Tonga
Current Elo	1815	1056
Elo rank	37th	198th
Peak Elo	1875 (2023)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	854	68
All-time record	403W 182D 269L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1455	81
Goals against	1054	253
Biggest win	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1901-02-23 · British Home Championship	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Uruguay · 1954-06-19 · FIFA World Cup	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.21	0.00

When they've met

Scotland and Tonga have never played each other.