Head to head

Samoa vs Zambia

If they played today

Samoa at home

21% / 23% / 56%

Samoa win / draw / Zambia win

Samoa–Zambia

0–1 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

16% / 21% / 63%

Samoa win / draw / Zambia win

Samoa–Zambia

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.5%
1–1 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.6%

Zambia at home

11% / 18% / 71%

Samoa win / draw / Zambia win

Samoa–Zambia

0–2 13.1%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.5%
1–2 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Zambia
Current Elo	1216	1551
Elo rank	179th	94th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1799 (1994)
Matches played	71	793
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	358W 203D 232L
Goals for	99	1234
Goals against	249	851
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	11–2 vs Eswatini · 1978-02-05 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	1–10 vs DR Congo · 1969-11-22 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Samoa and Zambia have never played each other.