Head to head

Samoa vs Wales

If they played today

Samoa at home

11% / 19% / 70%

Samoa win / draw / Wales win

Samoa–Wales

0–2 13.0%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.5%
0–3 9.3%
1–1 8.8%

Neutral venue

8% / 16% / 77%

Samoa win / draw / Wales win

Samoa–Wales

0–2 14.5%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.4%
1–2 8.7%
1–1 7.3%

Wales at home

5% / 13% / 83%

Samoa win / draw / Wales win

Samoa–Wales

0–2 15.9%
0–3 13.6%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.7%
1–2 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Wales
Current Elo	1216	1743
Elo rank	179th	52nd
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	71	726
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	99	910
Goals against	249	1160
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Samoa and Wales have never played each other.