Head to head

Samoa vs Vanuatu

If they played today

Samoa at home

29% / 25% / 46%

Samoa win / draw / Vanuatu win

Samoa–Vanuatu

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
0–2 8.0%
1–0 7.9%

Neutral venue

22% / 24% / 54%

Samoa win / draw / Vanuatu win

Samoa–Vanuatu

1–1 11.3%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.6%
1–0 6.5%

Vanuatu at home

17% / 22% / 62%

Samoa win / draw / Vanuatu win

Samoa–Vanuatu

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Vanuatu
Current Elo	1216	1430
Elo rank	179th	140th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1609 (2004)
Matches played	71	214
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	69W 29D 116L
Goals for	99	403
Goals against	249	460
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	18–0 vs Kiribati · 2003-07-07 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	0–9 vs New Zealand · 1951-10-04 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
OFC Nations Cups won	0	0
Expected OFC Nations Cups	0.03	0.76

When they've met

Meetings

Samoa 0W 0D 6L

Goals

2–40

Samoa first

First meeting

1–13

Vanuatu won · 1981-07-07 · South Pacific Mini Games

Most recent

1–4

Vanuatu won · 2024-10-12 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Samoa's biggest win

—

Never beaten Vanuatu

Vanuatu's biggest win

13–1

1981-07-07 · South Pacific Mini Games

Current run

Won last 6

Vanuatu · since 1981-07-07

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-10-12	1–4	Vanuatu home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2019-07-18	0–11	Samoa home	Pacific Games
2012-06-03	0–5	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup
2007-08-25	0–4	Samoa home	South Pacific Games
2004-05-15	0–3	Samoa home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1981-07-07	1–13	Neutral	South Pacific Mini Games