Head to head

Samoa vs Uzbekistan

If they played today

Samoa at home

12% / 19% / 69%

Samoa win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Samoa–Uzbekistan

0–2 12.8%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.5%
0–3 9.1%
1–1 9.0%

Neutral venue

8% / 16% / 76%

Samoa win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Samoa–Uzbekistan

0–2 14.3%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.1%
1–2 8.8%
1–1 7.5%

Uzbekistan at home

5% / 13% / 82%

Samoa win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Samoa–Uzbekistan

0–2 15.8%
0–3 13.3%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.4%
1–2 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Uzbekistan
Current Elo	1216	1731
Elo rank	179th	56th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1844 (2025)
Matches played	71	357
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	169W 73D 115L
Goals for	99	615
Goals against	249	405
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	15–0 vs Mongolia · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	1–8 vs Japan · 2000-10-17 · AFC Asian Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Samoa and Uzbekistan have never played each other.