Head to head

Samoa vs Uruguay

If they played today

Samoa at home

5% / 13% / 82%

Samoa win / draw / Uruguay win

Samoa–Uruguay

0–2 15.7%
0–3 13.2%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.3%
1–2 7.7%

Neutral venue

3% / 10% / 87%

Samoa win / draw / Uruguay win

Samoa–Uruguay

0–2 17.1%
0–3 15.5%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.5%
1–2 6.1%

Uruguay at home

1% / 8% / 91%

Samoa win / draw / Uruguay win

Samoa–Uruguay

0–2 18.4%
0–3 17.9%
0–4 13.1%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Uruguay
Current Elo	1216	1925
Elo rank	179th	18th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	2104 (2024)
Matches played	71	973
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	428W 242D 303L
Goals for	99	1537
Goals against	249	1182
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	9–0 vs Bolivia · 1927-11-06 · Copa América
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	0–6 vs Argentina · 1902-07-20 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	2
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.84

When they've met

Samoa and Uruguay have never played each other.