Head to head

Samoa vs United States

If they played today

Samoa at home

8% / 16% / 77%

Samoa win / draw / United States win

Samoa–United States

0–2 14.5%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.3%
1–2 8.7%
1–1 7.4%

Neutral venue

5% / 13% / 83%

Samoa win / draw / United States win

Samoa–United States

0–2 15.9%
0–3 13.6%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.6%
1–2 7.4%

United States at home

3% / 10% / 87%

Samoa win / draw / United States win

Samoa–United States

0–2 17.3%
0–3 15.9%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.9%
0–5 6.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	United States
Current Elo	1216	1842
Elo rank	179th	33rd
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1973 (2021)
Matches played	71	795
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	354W 161D 280L
Goals for	99	1211
Goals against	249	1056
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	8–0 vs Barbados · 2008-06-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	0–11 vs Norway · 1948-08-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.21

When they've met

Samoa and United States have never played each other.