Head to head

Samoa vs United States Virgin Islands

If they played today

Samoa at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Samoa win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Samoa–United States Virgin Islands

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

55% / 24% / 21%

Samoa win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Samoa–United States Virgin Islands

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.2%
2–0 9.8%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

United States Virgin Islands at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Samoa win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Samoa–United States Virgin Islands

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	United States Virgin Islands
Current Elo	1216	990
Elo rank	179th	206th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1507 (1999)
Matches played	71	78
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	10W 12D 56L
Goals for	99	54
Goals against	249	295
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	4–0 vs Marshall Islands · 2025-08-14 · Outrigger Challenge Cup
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	1–14 vs Saint Lucia · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Samoa and United States Virgin Islands have never played each other.