Head to head

Samoa vs Ukraine

If they played today

Samoa at home

8% / 15% / 77%

Samoa win / draw / Ukraine win

Samoa–Ukraine

0–2 14.5%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.4%
1–2 8.6%
1–1 7.3%

Neutral venue

5% / 13% / 83%

Samoa win / draw / Ukraine win

Samoa–Ukraine

0–2 16.0%
0–3 13.7%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.8%
1–2 7.3%

Ukraine at home

3% / 10% / 88%

Samoa win / draw / Ukraine win

Samoa–Ukraine

0–2 17.4%
0–3 16.0%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 11.1%
0–5 6.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Ukraine
Current Elo	1216	1847
Elo rank	179th	30th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1921 (2024)
Matches played	71	338
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	152W 94D 92L
Goals for	99	475
Goals against	249	358
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	9–0 vs San Marino · 2013-09-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	1–7 vs France · 2020-10-07 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.01

When they've met

Samoa and Ukraine have never played each other.