Head to head

Samoa vs Uganda

If they played today

Samoa at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Samoa win / draw / Uganda win

Samoa–Uganda

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.4%
1–0 6.7%

Neutral venue

17% / 22% / 61%

Samoa win / draw / Uganda win

Samoa–Uganda

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.9%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.9%

Uganda at home

13% / 19% / 68%

Samoa win / draw / Uganda win

Samoa–Uganda

0–2 12.5%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
0–3 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Uganda
Current Elo	1216	1514
Elo rank	179th	105th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1707 (1978)
Matches played	71	685
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	285W 182D 218L
Goals for	99	1030
Goals against	249	809
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	13–1 vs Kenya · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	1–8 vs Nigeria · 1991-09-23 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Samoa and Uganda have never played each other.