Head to head

Samoa vs Tajikistan

If they played today

Samoa at home

28% / 25% / 47%

Samoa win / draw / Tajikistan win

Samoa–Tajikistan

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.2%
1–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

22% / 24% / 55%

Samoa win / draw / Tajikistan win

Samoa–Tajikistan

1–1 11.2%
0–1 11.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.7%
1–0 6.4%

Tajikistan at home

16% / 21% / 63%

Samoa win / draw / Tajikistan win

Samoa–Tajikistan

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Tajikistan
Current Elo	1216	1438
Elo rank	179th	136th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1569 (1997)
Matches played	71	201
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	78W 43D 80L
Goals for	99	299
Goals against	249	278
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	16–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	0–8 vs Japan · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Samoa and Tajikistan have never played each other.