Head to head

Samoa vs Tahiti

If they played today

Samoa at home

24% / 24% / 52%

Samoa win / draw / Tahiti win

Samoa–Tahiti

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.2%
1–0 6.8%

Neutral venue

18% / 22% / 60%

Samoa win / draw / Tahiti win

Samoa–Tahiti

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.8%

Tahiti at home

13% / 20% / 68%

Samoa win / draw / Tahiti win

Samoa–Tahiti

0–2 12.4%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
0–3 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Tahiti
Current Elo	1216	1506
Elo rank	179th	109th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1856 (1996)
Matches played	71	242
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	131W 31D 80L
Goals for	99	657
Goals against	249	371
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	30–0 vs Cook Islands · 1971-09-13 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	0–10 vs Spain · 2013-06-20 · Confederations Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
OFC Nations Cups won	0	1
Expected OFC Nations Cups	0.03	1.84

When they've met

Meetings

Samoa 0W 0D 9L

Goals

3–48

Samoa first

First meeting

0–13

Tahiti won · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games

Most recent

0–3

Tahiti won · 2024-11-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Samoa's biggest win

—

Never beaten Tahiti

Tahiti's biggest win

13–0

1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games

Most common result

0–2

Samoa first · twice, last 2024-06-16

Current run

Won last 9

Tahiti · since 1981-07-08

9 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-11-15	0–3	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2024-06-16	0–2	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup
2023-11-27	1–2	Neutral	Pacific Games
2016-05-29	0–4	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup
2012-06-01	1–10	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup
1998-09-05	1–5	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1994-11-28	0–7	Samoa home	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1983-09-14	0–2	Samoa home	South Pacific Games
1981-07-08	0–13	Neutral	South Pacific Mini Games