Head to head

Samoa vs Sweden

If they played today

Samoa at home

9% / 17% / 74%

Samoa win / draw / Sweden win

Samoa–Sweden

0–2 13.8%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

6% / 14% / 80%

Samoa win / draw / Sweden win

Samoa–Sweden

0–2 15.3%
0–3 12.5%
0–1 12.4%
1–2 8.0%
0–4 7.7%

Sweden at home

4% / 11% / 85%

Samoa win / draw / Sweden win

Samoa–Sweden

0–2 16.7%
0–3 14.8%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 9.9%
1–2 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Sweden
Current Elo	1216	1797
Elo rank	179th	41st
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1955 (2018)
Matches played	71	1105
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	542W 234D 329L
Goals for	99	2178
Goals against	249	1431
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.52

When they've met

Samoa and Sweden have never played each other.