Head to head

Samoa vs Senegal

If they played today

Samoa at home

6% / 14% / 79%

Samoa win / draw / Senegal win

Samoa–Senegal

0–2 15.0%
0–1 12.4%
0–3 12.2%
1–2 8.2%
0–4 7.4%

Neutral venue

4% / 12% / 85%

Samoa win / draw / Senegal win

Samoa–Senegal

0–2 16.5%
0–3 14.5%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 9.5%
1–2 6.8%

Senegal at home

2% / 9% / 89%

Samoa win / draw / Senegal win

Samoa–Senegal

0–2 17.9%
0–3 16.8%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 11.9%
0–5 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Senegal
Current Elo	1216	1881
Elo rank	179th	27th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1953 (2026)
Matches played	71	642
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	299W 169D 174L
Goals for	99	892
Goals against	249	608
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	8–0 vs Kenya · 2025-11-18 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	0–5 vs Guinea · 1966-03-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.04

When they've met

Samoa and Senegal have never played each other.