Head to head

Samoa vs Scotland

If they played today

Samoa at home

9% / 16% / 75%

Samoa win / draw / Scotland win

Samoa–Scotland

0–2 14.1%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.8%
1–2 8.9%
1–1 7.8%

Neutral venue

6% / 13% / 81%

Samoa win / draw / Scotland win

Samoa–Scotland

0–2 15.5%
0–3 12.9%
0–1 12.4%
0–4 8.1%
1–2 7.8%

Scotland at home

3% / 11% / 86%

Samoa win / draw / Scotland win

Samoa–Scotland

0–2 17.0%
0–3 15.3%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.3%
1–2 6.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	Scotland
Current Elo	1216	1815
Elo rank	179th	37th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1875 (2023)
Matches played	71	854
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	403W 182D 269L
Goals for	99	1455
Goals against	249	1054
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1901-02-23 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	0–7 vs Uruguay · 1954-06-19 · FIFA World Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.21

When they've met

Samoa and Scotland have never played each other.