Head to head

Samoa vs San Marino

If they played today

Samoa at home

69% / 19% / 12%

Samoa win / draw / San Marino win

Samoa–San Marino

2–0 12.8%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.1%
1–1 9.0%

Neutral venue

62% / 21% / 17%

Samoa win / draw / San Marino win

Samoa–San Marino

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.2%

San Marino at home

54% / 24% / 22%

Samoa win / draw / San Marino win

Samoa–San Marino

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.6%
0–1 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Samoa	San Marino
Current Elo	1216	901
Elo rank	179th	213th
Peak Elo	1447 (1979)	1468 (1990)
Matches played	71	225
All-time record	22W 4D 45L	3W 11D 211L
Goals for	99	44
Goals against	249	890
Biggest win	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games	3–1 vs Liechtenstein · 2024-11-18 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games	0–13 vs Germany · 2006-09-06 · UEFA Euro qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Samoa and San Marino have never played each other.