Head to head

Rwanda vs Zambia

If they played today

Rwanda at home

37% / 26% / 37%

Rwanda win / draw / Zambia win

Rwanda–Zambia

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.6%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Neutral venue

29% / 26% / 45%

Rwanda win / draw / Zambia win

Rwanda–Zambia

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.1%
0–2 7.9%

Zambia at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Rwanda win / draw / Zambia win

Rwanda–Zambia

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.4%
1–0 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Rwanda	Zambia
Current Elo	1448	1551
Elo rank	128th	94th
Peak Elo	1532 (2015)	1799 (1994)
Matches played	280	793
All-time record	88W 74D 118L	358W 203D 232L
Goals for	289	1234
Goals against	336	851
Biggest win	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup	11–2 vs Eswatini · 1978-02-05 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly	1–10 vs DR Congo · 1969-11-22 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	1.21

When they've met

Meetings

Rwanda 1W 2D 5L

Goals

4–10

Rwanda first

First meeting

2–0

Rwanda won · 2000-10-29 · Friendly

Most recent

0–2

Zambia won · 2015-03-29 · Friendly

Rwanda's biggest win

2–0

2000-10-29 · Friendly

Zambia's biggest win

3–0

2003-03-24 · Friendly

Most common result

0–1

Rwanda first · twice, last 2009-06-06

Current run

Unbeaten in 7

Zambia · since 2003-03-22

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2015-03-29	0–2	Zambia home	Friendly
2009-11-14	0–0	Rwanda home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2009-06-06	0–1	Zambia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2006-12-08	0–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2004-08-28	1–2	Zambia home	Friendly
2003-03-24	0–3	Rwanda home	Friendly
2003-03-22	1–1	Rwanda home	Friendly
2000-10-29	2–0	Zambia home	Friendly