Head to head

Rwanda vs Wales

If they played today

Rwanda at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Rwanda win / draw / Wales win

Rwanda–Wales

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.3%
1–0 6.8%

Neutral venue

18% / 22% / 60%

Rwanda win / draw / Wales win

Rwanda–Wales

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.9%
1–1 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.9%

Wales at home

13% / 19% / 68%

Rwanda win / draw / Wales win

Rwanda–Wales

0–2 12.5%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
0–3 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Rwanda	Wales
Current Elo	1448	1743
Elo rank	128th	52nd
Peak Elo	1532 (2015)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	280	726
All-time record	88W 74D 118L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	289	910
Goals against	336	1160
Biggest win	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Rwanda and Wales have never played each other.