Head to head

Rwanda vs Tonga

If they played today

Rwanda at home

75% / 17% / 9%

Rwanda win / draw / Tonga win

Rwanda–Tonga

2–0 14.0%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.6%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

68% / 19% / 13%

Rwanda win / draw / Tonga win

Rwanda–Tonga

2–0 12.4%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.6%

Tonga at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Rwanda win / draw / Tonga win

Rwanda–Tonga

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Rwanda	Tonga
Current Elo	1448	1056
Elo rank	128th	198th
Peak Elo	1532 (2015)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	280	68
All-time record	88W 74D 118L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	289	81
Goals against	336	253
Biggest win	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Rwanda and Tonga have never played each other.