Head to head

Rwanda vs South Africa

If they played today

Rwanda at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Rwanda win / draw / South Africa win

Rwanda–South Africa

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.5%
1–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

20% / 23% / 57%

Rwanda win / draw / South Africa win

Rwanda–South Africa

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
0–2 10.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

South Africa at home

15% / 21% / 64%

Rwanda win / draw / South Africa win

Rwanda–South Africa

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.7%
1–1 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Rwanda	South Africa
Current Elo	1448	1694
Elo rank	128th	66th
Peak Elo	1532 (2015)	1792 (1996)
Matches played	280	484
All-time record	88W 74D 118L	216W 146D 122L
Goals for	289	652
Goals against	336	458
Biggest win	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup	8–0 vs Australia · 1955-09-17 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly	3–9 vs Netherlands · 1958-11-12 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02
African Cup of Nations won	0	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.71

When they've met

Meetings

Rwanda 1W 0D 1L

Goals

2–3

Rwanda first

First meeting

2–0

Rwanda won · 2023-11-21 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

0–3

South Africa won · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Rwanda's biggest win

2–0

2023-11-21 · FIFA World Cup qualification

South Africa's biggest win

3–0

2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Current run

Won the last meeting

South Africa · since 2025-10-14

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-14	0–3	South Africa home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2023-11-21	2–0	Rwanda home	FIFA World Cup qualification