Head to head

Rwanda vs Somalia

If they played today

Rwanda at home

74% / 17% / 9%

Rwanda win / draw / Somalia win

Rwanda–Somalia

2–0 13.9%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.5%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

67% / 20% / 13%

Rwanda win / draw / Somalia win

Rwanda–Somalia

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.5%

Somalia at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Rwanda win / draw / Somalia win

Rwanda–Somalia

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Rwanda	Somalia
Current Elo	1448	1061
Elo rank	128th	196th
Peak Elo	1532 (2015)	1475 (1963)
Matches played	280	124
All-time record	88W 74D 118L	11W 15D 98L
Goals for	289	62
Goals against	336	330
Biggest win	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup	3–2 vs Djibouti · 2008-12-23 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly	0–14 vs North Korea · 1963-11-11 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Rwanda 7W 0D 0L

Goals

15–0

Rwanda first

First meeting

1–0

Rwanda won · 1982-09-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

3–0

Rwanda won · 2015-11-27 · CECAFA Cup

Rwanda's biggest win

3–0

2015-11-27 · CECAFA Cup

Somalia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Rwanda

Most common result

3–0

Rwanda first · 4 times, last 2015-11-27

Current run

Won last 7

Rwanda · since 1982-09-19

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2015-11-27	3–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2009-11-29	1–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2009-01-05	3–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2006-11-27	3–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2002-12-03	1–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2001-12-08	3–0	Rwanda home	CECAFA Cup
1982-09-19	1–0	Somalia home	African Cup of Nations qualification