Head to head

Rwanda vs Senegal

If they played today

Rwanda at home

16% / 21% / 63%

Rwanda win / draw / Senegal win

Rwanda–Senegal

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.5%
1–1 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.5%

Neutral venue

11% / 18% / 71%

Rwanda win / draw / Senegal win

Rwanda–Senegal

0–2 13.1%
0–1 12.1%
1–2 9.4%
0–3 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Senegal at home

7% / 15% / 77%

Rwanda win / draw / Senegal win

Rwanda–Senegal

0–2 14.6%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.5%
1–2 8.6%
1–1 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Rwanda	Senegal
Current Elo	1448	1881
Elo rank	128th	27th
Peak Elo	1532 (2015)	1953 (2026)
Matches played	280	642
All-time record	88W 74D 118L	299W 169D 174L
Goals for	289	892
Goals against	336	608
Biggest win	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup	8–0 vs Kenya · 2025-11-18 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly	0–5 vs Guinea · 1966-03-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.04
African Cup of Nations won	0	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	1.85

When they've met

Meetings

Rwanda 0W 1D 2L

Goals

1–4

Rwanda first

First meeting

0–2

Senegal won · 2016-05-28 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2023-09-09 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Rwanda's biggest win

—

Never beaten Senegal

Senegal's biggest win

2–0

2016-05-28 · Friendly

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Senegal · since 2016-05-28

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-09-09	1–1	Rwanda home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2022-06-07	0–1	Senegal home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2016-05-28	0–2	Rwanda home	Friendly