Head to head

Rwanda vs Samoa

If they played today

Rwanda at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Rwanda win / draw / Samoa win

Rwanda–Samoa

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.5%
1–1 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.5%

Neutral venue

56% / 23% / 21%

Rwanda win / draw / Samoa win

Rwanda–Samoa

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 9.9%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Samoa at home

47% / 25% / 27%

Rwanda win / draw / Samoa win

Rwanda–Samoa

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.3%
0–1 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Rwanda	Samoa
Current Elo	1448	1216
Elo rank	128th	179th
Peak Elo	1532 (2015)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	280	71
All-time record	88W 74D 118L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	289	99
Goals against	336	249
Biggest win	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Rwanda and Samoa have never played each other.