Head to head

Russia vs Tonga

If they played today

Russia at home

94% / 6% / 1%

Russia win / draw / Tonga win

Russia–Tonga

3–0 20.0%
2–0 19.5%
4–0 15.4%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.5%

Neutral venue

90% / 8% / 2%

Russia win / draw / Tonga win

Russia–Tonga

2–0 18.2%
3–0 17.4%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.5%
5–0 7.2%

Tonga at home

86% / 11% / 3%

Russia win / draw / Tonga win

Russia–Tonga

2–0 16.8%
3–0 15.0%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.1%
2–1 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Russia	Tonga
Current Elo	1845	1056
Elo rank	31st	198th
Peak Elo	1970 (1983)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	749	68
All-time record	385W 197D 167L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1301	81
Goals against	735	253
Biggest win	11–1 vs India · 1955-09-16 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–16 vs Germany · 1912-07-01 · Olympic Games	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.73	0.00

When they've met

Russia and Tonga have never played each other.