Head to head

Republic of Ireland vs Tonga

If they played today

Republic of Ireland at home

91% / 8% / 1%

Republic of Ireland win / draw / Tonga win

Republic of Ireland–Tonga

2–0 18.4%
3–0 17.9%
4–0 13.0%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 7.6%

Neutral venue

87% / 10% / 3%

Republic of Ireland win / draw / Tonga win

Republic of Ireland–Tonga

2–0 17.1%
3–0 15.4%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.5%
2–1 6.1%

Tonga at home

81% / 13% / 5%

Republic of Ireland win / draw / Tonga win

Republic of Ireland–Tonga

2–0 15.6%
3–0 13.1%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.2%
2–1 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Republic of Ireland	Tonga
Current Elo	1762	1056
Elo rank	48th	198th
Peak Elo	1927 (2002)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	633	68
All-time record	243W 179D 211L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	858	81
Goals against	769	253
Biggest win	8–0 vs Malta · 1983-11-16 · UEFA Euro qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Brazil · 1982-05-27 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.09	0.00

When they've met

Republic of Ireland and Tonga have never played each other.