Head to head

Qatar vs Tonga

If they played today

Qatar at home

80% / 14% / 6%

Qatar win / draw / Tonga win

Qatar–Tonga

2–0 15.4%
3–0 12.7%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.0%
4–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

74% / 17% / 9%

Qatar win / draw / Tonga win

Qatar–Tonga

2–0 13.9%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.5%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

Tonga at home

67% / 20% / 13%

Qatar win / draw / Tonga win

Qatar–Tonga

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Qatar	Tonga
Current Elo	1543	1056
Elo rank	95th	198th
Peak Elo	1881 (2019)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	638	68
All-time record	260W 156D 222L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	897	81
Goals against	777	253
Biggest win	15–0 vs Bhutan · 2015-09-03 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Kuwait · 1973-04-12 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.01	0.00

When they've met

Qatar and Tonga have never played each other.