Head to head

Portugal vs Tonga

If they played today

Portugal at home

96% / 3% / 0%

Portugal win / draw / Tonga win

Portugal–Tonga

3–0 20.6%
4–0 17.9%
2–0 17.7%
5–0 12.5%
1–0 10.1%

Neutral venue

96% / 4% / 0%

Portugal win / draw / Tonga win

Portugal–Tonga

3–0 21.0%
2–0 19.2%
4–0 17.3%
1–0 11.7%
5–0 11.4%

Tonga at home

94% / 6% / 1%

Portugal win / draw / Tonga win

Portugal–Tonga

3–0 20.1%
2–0 19.5%
4–0 15.5%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Portugal	Tonga
Current Elo	2051	1056
Elo rank	7th	198th
Peak Elo	2095 (2022)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	700	68
All-time record	351W 161D 188L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1235	81
Goals against	781	253
Biggest win	9–0 vs Luxembourg · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–10 vs England · 1947-05-25 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.36	0.00

When they've met

Portugal and Tonga have never played each other.