Head to head

Portugal vs Samoa

If they played today

Portugal at home

95% / 5% / 0%

Portugal win / draw / Samoa win

Portugal–Samoa

3–0 21.1%
2–0 20.0%
4–0 16.8%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 10.6%

Neutral venue

92% / 7% / 1%

Portugal win / draw / Samoa win

Portugal–Samoa

2–0 18.8%
3–0 18.6%
4–0 13.8%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.2%

Samoa at home

88% / 10% / 3%

Portugal win / draw / Samoa win

Portugal–Samoa

2–0 17.5%
3–0 16.1%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.2%
5–0 6.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Portugal	Samoa
Current Elo	2051	1216
Elo rank	7th	179th
Peak Elo	2095 (2022)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	700	71
All-time record	351W 161D 188L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1235	99
Goals against	781	249
Biggest win	9–0 vs Luxembourg · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–10 vs England · 1947-05-25 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.36	0.00

When they've met

Portugal and Samoa have never played each other.