Head to head

Poland vs Uzbekistan

If they played today

Poland at home

49% / 25% / 26%

Poland win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Poland–Uzbekistan

1–1 11.8%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.6%
0–1 7.4%

Neutral venue

41% / 26% / 33%

Poland win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Poland–Uzbekistan

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 8.9%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.7%

Uzbekistan at home

33% / 26% / 41%

Poland win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Poland–Uzbekistan

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–0 8.8%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Poland	Uzbekistan
Current Elo	1779	1731
Elo rank	44th	56th
Peak Elo	1937 (1975)	1844 (2025)
Matches played	892	357
All-time record	384W 225D 283L	169W 73D 115L
Goals for	1499	615
Goals against	1201	405
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2009-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification	15–0 vs Mongolia · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Denmark · 1948-06-26 · Friendly	1–8 vs Japan · 2000-10-17 · AFC Asian Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.24	<0.01

When they've met

Poland and Uzbekistan have never played each other.