Head to head

Poland vs Tonga

If they played today

Poland at home

91% / 7% / 1%

Poland win / draw / Tonga win

Poland–Tonga

2–0 18.6%
3–0 18.3%
4–0 13.5%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 7.9%

Neutral venue

87% / 10% / 3%

Poland win / draw / Tonga win

Poland–Tonga

2–0 17.3%
3–0 15.8%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.9%
5–0 6.0%

Tonga at home

82% / 13% / 5%

Poland win / draw / Tonga win

Poland–Tonga

2–0 15.9%
3–0 13.5%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.6%
2–1 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Poland	Tonga
Current Elo	1779	1056
Elo rank	44th	198th
Peak Elo	1937 (1975)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	892	68
All-time record	384W 225D 283L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1499	81
Goals against	1201	253
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2009-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Denmark · 1948-06-26 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.24	0.00

When they've met

Poland and Tonga have never played each other.