Head to head

Poland vs Samoa

If they played today

Poland at home

84% / 12% / 4%

Poland win / draw / Samoa win

Poland–Samoa

2–0 16.5%
3–0 14.4%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.5%
2–1 6.8%

Neutral venue

79% / 15% / 7%

Poland win / draw / Samoa win

Poland–Samoa

2–0 15.0%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.1%
2–1 8.2%
4–0 7.4%

Samoa at home

73% / 17% / 10%

Poland win / draw / Samoa win

Poland–Samoa

2–0 13.5%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 10.0%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Poland	Samoa
Current Elo	1779	1216
Elo rank	44th	179th
Peak Elo	1937 (1975)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	892	71
All-time record	384W 225D 283L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1499	99
Goals against	1201	249
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2009-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Denmark · 1948-06-26 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.24	0.00

When they've met

Poland and Samoa have never played each other.