Head to head

Paraguay vs Tonga

If they played today

Paraguay at home

95% / 5% / 0%

Paraguay win / draw / Tonga win

Paraguay–Tonga

3–0 21.2%
2–0 19.9%
4–0 16.9%
1–0 12.5%
5–0 10.8%

Neutral venue

92% / 7% / 1%

Paraguay win / draw / Tonga win

Paraguay–Tonga

2–0 18.9%
3–0 18.8%
4–0 14.1%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.4%

Tonga at home

88% / 9% / 2%

Paraguay win / draw / Tonga win

Paraguay–Tonga

2–0 17.6%
3–0 16.4%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.4%
5–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Paraguay	Tonga
Current Elo	1901	1056
Elo rank	23rd	198th
Peak Elo	1927 (2025)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	788	68
All-time record	276W 210D 302L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1006	81
Goals against	1119	253
Biggest win	7–0 vs Hong Kong · 2010-11-17 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Argentina · 1926-10-20 · Copa América	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.23	0.00

When they've met

Paraguay and Tonga have never played each other.