Head to head

Paraguay vs Samoa

If they played today

Paraguay at home

90% / 8% / 2%

Paraguay win / draw / Samoa win

Paraguay–Samoa

2–0 18.1%
3–0 17.3%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.4%
5–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

86% / 11% / 3%

Paraguay win / draw / Samoa win

Paraguay–Samoa

2–0 16.8%
3–0 14.9%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.0%
2–1 6.5%

Samoa at home

80% / 14% / 6%

Paraguay win / draw / Samoa win

Paraguay–Samoa

2–0 15.3%
3–0 12.6%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.0%
4–0 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Paraguay	Samoa
Current Elo	1901	1216
Elo rank	23rd	179th
Peak Elo	1927 (2025)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	788	71
All-time record	276W 210D 302L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1006	99
Goals against	1119	249
Biggest win	7–0 vs Hong Kong · 2010-11-17 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Argentina · 1926-10-20 · Copa América	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.23	0.00

When they've met

Paraguay and Samoa have never played each other.