Head to head

Papua New Guinea vs Tonga

If they played today

Papua New Guinea at home

74% / 17% / 9%

Papua New Guinea win / draw / Tonga win

Papua New Guinea–Tonga

2–0 13.9%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.5%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

67% / 20% / 13%

Papua New Guinea win / draw / Tonga win

Papua New Guinea–Tonga

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.5%

Tonga at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Papua New Guinea win / draw / Tonga win

Papua New Guinea–Tonga

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Papua New Guinea	Tonga
Current Elo	1443	1056
Elo rank	133rd	198th
Peak Elo	1553 (1989)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	155	68
All-time record	52W 29D 74L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	336	81
Goals against	312	253
Biggest win	20–0 vs American Samoa · 1987-12-15 · South Pacific Games	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–10 vs Malaysia · 2023-06-20 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
OFC Nations Cups won	0	0
Expected OFC Nations Cups	0.29	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Papua New Guinea 3W 1D 0L

Goals

20–2

Papua New Guinea first

First meeting

5–0

Papua New Guinea won · 1993-12-10 · South Pacific Mini Games

Most recent

8–0

Papua New Guinea won · 2019-07-18 · Pacific Games

Papua New Guinea's biggest win

8–0

2019-07-18 · Pacific Games

Tonga's biggest win

—

Never beaten Papua New Guinea

Most common result

5–0

Papua New Guinea first · twice, last 2002-03-14

Current run

Unbeaten in 4

Papua New Guinea · since 1993-12-10

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2019-07-18	8–0	Neutral	Pacific Games
2003-07-01	2–2	Neutral	South Pacific Games
2002-03-14	5–0	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1993-12-10	5–0	Neutral	South Pacific Mini Games